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WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Market News: Trump Group plans to cooperate with DAR GLOBAL to build Trump Tower in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Wu Yaping, Research Fellow, Investment Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission: Enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation and give full play to the combination of different policy tools. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to integrate economic policies and non-economic policies into the consistency assessment of macro-policy orientation, coordinate the whole process of policy formulation and implementation, and improve the overall effectiveness of policies. In this regard, Wu Yaping, a researcher at the Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that to enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation, it is necessary to strengthen and improve the evaluation of macro-policy consistency, give full play to the combined force of more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, and give play to the combined role of different policy tools. It can be understood as "three plus": increasing fiscal and monetary policies, strengthening support for "duality" and "two innovations", and strengthening efforts to prevent and resolve risks in key areas. "The external environment will face greater uncertainty next year. We must adhere to' taking me as the main factor', strengthen the research on reserve policy, and fight for preparation." Wu Yaping said. (SSE)South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)European Central Bank President Lagarde: Due to the lack of budgets submitted by member States, there is uncertainty. Elections in various countries also lead to their own uncertainties.

Zhang Yiqun, Vice Chairman of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association: The fiscal deficit will be greatly increased or released over 5 trillion yuan next year, and the Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association, said that the fiscal deficit will be greatly increased on the basis of 3% this year, and it is estimated that deficit ratio will be in the range of 3.5% to 4% next year, which will release more than 5 trillion yuan of space.The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.Some taxis in Kunming spontaneously cut prices to save passenger flow. Officially, personal behavior is not illegal, and unified price adjustment opinions are being sought. Recently, the relevant departments in Kunming issued a notice to solicit suggestions for preferential freight rates in view of the decreasing number of taxi customers. At present, before the deadline for consultation, some taxi drivers in Kunming have started to cut prices spontaneously, and the starting price has dropped from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. The staff of Kunming Transportation and Port and Shipping Development Center said that there is no unified price reduction for the time being, and the opinions of freight rate preferential activities are being sought. They know that some drivers cut prices spontaneously, which is a personal act and not a violation. Regarding the preferential activities, the latest news will be announced in time. (Extreme News)